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Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe, by Graham Allison
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"Allison's comprehensive but accessible treatment of this vital subject is a major contribution to public understanding." -The New York Times Book Review
Americans in the twenty-first century are keenly aware of the many forms of terrorism: hijackings, biological attacks, chemical weapons. But the deadliest form is almost too scary to think about-a terrorist group exploding a nuclear device in an American city.
In this urgent call to action, Graham Allison, one of America's leading experts on nuclear weapons and national security, presents the evidence for two provocative, compelling conclusions. First, if policy makers in Washington keep doing what they are currently doing about the threat, a nuclear terrorist attack on America is inevitable. Second, the surprising and largely unrecognized good news is that nuclear terrorism is, in fact, preventable. In these pages, Allison offers an ambitious but feasible blueprint for eliminating the possibility of nuclear terrorist attacks, if we are willing to face the issue squarely.
- Sales Rank: #107551 in Books
- Published on: 2005-08-01
- Released on: 2005-07-14
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 8.50" h x .65" w x 5.50" l, .55 pounds
- Binding: Paperback
- 275 pages
From Publishers Weekly
A founding dean of Harvard's John F. Kennedy School of Government, Allison applies a long, distinguished career in government and academia to this sobering—indeed frightening—presentation of U.S. vulnerability to a terrorist nuclear attack. While he begins by asserting such an attack is preventable, the balance of his text is anything but reassuring. Allison begins by describing the broad spectrum of groups who could intend a nuclear strike against the U.S. They range from an al-Qaeda with its own Manhattan Project to small and determined doomsday cults. Their tools can include a broad spectrum of weapons, either stolen or homemade from raw materials increasingly available worldwide. Once terrorists acquire a nuclear bomb, Allison argues, its delivery to an American target may be almost impossible to stop under current security measures. The Bush administration, correct in waging war against nuclear terrorism, has not, he says, yet developed a comprehensive counter strategy. Arguing that the only way to eliminate nuclear terrorism's threat is to lock down the weapons at the source, Allison recommends nothing less than a new international order based on no insecure nuclear material, no new facilities for processing uranium or enriching plutonium and no new nuclear states. Those policies, Allison believes, do not stretch beyond the achievable, if pursued by a combination of quid pro quos and intimidation in an international context of negotiation and a U.S. foreign policy he describes as "humble." A humble policy in turn will facilitate building a world alliance against nuclear terrorism and acquiring the intelligence necessary for success against prospective nuclear terrorists. It will also require time, money and effort. Like the Cold War, the war on nuclear terrorism will probably be a long struggle in the twilight. But no student of the fact, Allison asserts, doubts that another major terrorist attack is in the offing. "We do not have the luxury," he declares, "of hoping the beast will simply go away."
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
From Bookmarks Magazine
Chemical weapons can kill in the thousands. Over the same area, a football-sized nuclear packet could kill half a million. With Iran and North Korea joining the fray, Russia’s massive supplies, and Pakistan’s black market, we’re in Big Trouble. Allison, who served under the first Clinton administration, models his argument on the successful Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program he helped implement when the Soviet Union collapsed. Nuclear Terrorism, well-written, lucid, and above all horrifying, offers a blueprint for preventing nuclear terrorism. Reviewers generally agree with Allison’s points, but ask how he would implement his goals in politically diverse climates. How does one conduct nuclear power plant inspections with corrupt officials, for example? Allison himself admits that his plan will take a “long, hard, slog”—one that seems necessary.
Copyright © 2004 Phillips & Nelson Media, Inc.
From Booklist
Prominent in political science for decades, Allison occasionally rotates into the government he studies, most recently at the Pentagon for the Clinton administration, during which an alarming international deterioration in the control of nuclear weapons occurred. It continues to be so serious that experts are surprised that terrorists haven't visited atomic catastrophe upon an American city--yet. Averting that disaster is the object of this book's proposals. Addressing general readers, Allison comprehensively discusses the perilous situation, from the technology of nuclear weapons to how terrorists could acquire an atomic bomb and then infiltrate port and border security. Lest readers flee to Montana in despair before finishing his book, Allison offers optimism in his multipoint plan to save the day. In essence, he argues that the U.S. government should buy the world's loose fissile metal, negotiate a termination of North Korea's and Iran's bomb projects, and revamp the International Atomic Energy Agency. Required for the current affairs shelf, this work will garner extra interest should its author reenter government in a Kerry administration. Gilbert Taylor
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved
Most helpful customer reviews
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Sleep well tonight?
By Al in MBK
Don't read this book if you want to sleep soundly every night. I guess we all know of some of the potential risks of the time we are in but to see them quantified is a real eye opener.
9 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Superb on Sounding the Alarm; Uninspiring Solutions
By Tom N
Graham Allison's "Nuclear Terrorism" is the scariest book I have read in a long time. The first 2/3 of the book is a carefully documented and extremely readable demolition of all the myths that might comfort us about why nuclear terrorism is unlikely. It is so well done and so important that before I had finished the copy I borrowed from the library, I bought two more online, including one to send my congressman. Allison has done a great service by calling attention to this urgent problem.
Unfortunately, the last third of the book is disappointing. Rather than call for the worldwide abolition of nuclear weapons, Allison's "solutions" will perpetuate the status quo, with current nuclear powers retaining their nuclear oligopoly. This not only violates Article VI of the nuclear nonproliferation treaty (and hence the U.S. Constitution), it sends a message that we believe the use or the threat of use of nuclear weapons is morally acceptable and militarily useful. This wrong message undermines efforts to prevent proliferation to other countries. In fact, the US would be a big winner if nuclear weapons were abolished. As Bernard Lown, co-founder of International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW) wrote in 1996:
"One can puzzle with dismay that the industrialized nations are not leading the pack in the quest for nuclear abolition...Their long-range security is categorically undermined by the spread of nuclearism. Nuclear weapons afford them scant advantage as they already command awesome military establishments capable of projecting their might speedily to the remote corners of the earth." (From the forward to the book "Crude Nuclear Weapons Proliferation and the Terrorist Threat," available free on the IPPNW the website.: [...])
In order to galvanize the population of the world to work together to prevent nuclear catastrophe, we need a goal and a message capable of inspiring people. Allison does a great job of sounding the alarm, but IPPNW's goal and message are more inspirational.
9 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
The Second Best Account
By Kenneth J. Dillon
Even though this readable and compelling book has received a lot of publicity, Ferguson and Potter's "The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism" actually provides more in-depth information and more useful analysis. In particular, "Four Faces" offers much more extensive analysis of the radiological weapon and nuclear facility threats, which are far more likely to occur than the nuclear explosions that form Allison's main focus.
Allison ferrets out telling anecdotes and lurid details that illustrate the refractory and yet possibly manageable nature of the threat. I found his accounts of the Chechen and Libyan cases particularly insightful. And one can only concur with his overall arguments about how nuclear terrorism should receive a much higher priority in terms of executive attention and federal spending. So the book offers considerable value as an up-to-date overview for the non-expert reader.
In terms of deeper analysis, although the book covers a wide swathe of international issues, it manages not even to mention the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and U.S. policy toward it. So in a broader sense, the analysis remains merely tactical.
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